Nitish Kumar can turn towards NDA any time, but it is not as easy as it seems. Lalu Prasad Yadav has also made his preparations to stop Nitish. That is why Nitish Kumar is not able to do this even if he wants to. Maybe that's why his anger is coming out every now and then.
The political temperature has become hot amid the harsh cold in Bihar. The political turmoil is so intense that even political analysts are not able to guess what is in Nitish's mind? Till now it is believed that Nitish Kumar can turn towards NDA at any time, but it is not as easy as it seems. Lalu Prasad Yadav has also made his preparations to stop Nitish. It is possible that perhaps because of the web woven by Lalu Prasad Yadav, Nitish is hesitating in taking the decision which is coming to his mind again and again.
Nitish Kumar had recently taken command of JDU. Since then, discussion had started in political circles about what Nitish Kumar wants to do. After Lalan Singh stepped down from the post of National President, Lalu Prasad Yadav also became alert, because Lalan Singh was the link between RJD and JDU. Only after this it was considered certain that Nitish Kumar could go out of the alliance made in Bihar, but despite wanting to, Nitish Kumar was not able to do so. Perhaps that is why Nitish Kumar's anger is coming out every now and then.
All is not well in JDU-RJD
The political equations changing every moment in Bihar after the National Executive of JDU are an indication that all is not well between JDU and RJD. On Thursday, the tension between the leaders of the two parties became public after the tweet of Lalu Prasad Yadav's daughter Rohini. Actually, Rohini had written in a poetic style – 'The one who claims to be a socialist leader, whose ideology changes like the wind…' Nitish Kumar was so enraged by this tweet that he even left the cabinet meeting midway. Earlier, Nitish Kumar had targeted nepotism in one of his addresses, it was believed that his direct reference was towards RJD.
Earlier, after the removal of Lalan Singh from the post of JDU national president, the foreign tour of Deputy CM Tejashwi Yadav was cancelled. His continuous absence from government programs is also an indication that the discord between JDU and RJD has increased considerably. This tension also came to the fore in the investors' meet when Tejashwi was seen avoiding being seen with the CM. After this, Tejashwi's face was not visible even in government advertisements. ,
What is Lalu's trap from which Nitish is not able to escape?
Nitish Kumar is known for changing sides, RJD was also aware of this, perhaps that is why RJD had started weaving a net against Nitish right from the time of the alliance. The biggest example of this is Awadh Bihari Chaudhary, along with the alliance, Lalu Prasad Yadav had sought the post of Bihar Assembly Speaker for RJD. This is so that if Nitish Kumar again tries to walk away from the alliance, then at least he can be pacified by bringing a no-confidence motion in the Assembly. How will this happen? For this we will have to understand the political equation of Bihar.
This is the latest political equation of Bihar
There are 243 seats in Bihar, hence 122 seats are required for majority here. At present, the largest party in Bihar is RJD, which has 79 assembly seats, followed by BJP which has 77 and at third place is Janata Dal United which has 45 seats. Congress has 19 members, Left has 12, AIMIM has 1 and Hindustani Awam Morcha has 4 members. The rest are independent. At present the number of RJD and JDU together becomes 124. If JDU comes out of the alliance and claims to form the government with BJP, then the total number of members will touch the majority mark if no JDU MLA defectes. It is believed that this is where Speaker Avadh Bihari can be of use to RJD. Actually, 79 seats of RJD, 19 of Congress and 12 seats of Left together become 110. After Nitish's departure with NDA, Jitan Ram Majhi's Hindustani Awam Morcha will also join RJD and take this figure to 114. If AIMIM gets the support of 1 more independent MLAs, then RJD will have to defeat only a few JDU MLAs to form the government without Nitish. After the announcement of no-confidence motion, the Speaker will be useful in this and in the floor test, power will go out of the hands of Nitish Kumar.
Lalu Prasad Yadav has made complete preparations
Nitish Kumar can give a blow to RJD any time, in such a situation Lalu Prasad Yadav has also made full preparations for the counterattack. An example of this is Lalu's recent conversation with Assembly Speaker Awadh Bihari Chaudhary. A few days ago, Awadh Bihari Chaudhary had visited Lalu Prasad's residence and met him. Law Minister Shamim Ahmed was also present during this meeting. However, no information has been revealed about what was discussed between the two leaders. It is believed that the main reason for this meeting between Lalu Prasad Yadav and Avadh Bihari Chaudhary was the tension that arose between JDU and RJD.
Currently rapidly changing events
Political developments are changing rapidly in Bihar. When Nitish's displeasure came to light after Rohini's post on Thursday, Tejashwi Yadav even came to meet the CM. After this, there was also a meeting between BJP State President Samrat Chaudhary and KC Tyagi. It is being told that in this meeting the situation in Bihar and the issue of Karpoori Thakur were discussed. Soon after this, CM Nitish Kumar held a big meeting at his residence, while a meeting also started at Rabri Devi's residence. Samrat Chaudhary was also called to Delhi. It is believed that some major update may come out after the meeting with Amit Shah and Bihar BJP President Samrat Chaudhary – Sushil Modi late in the evening.
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